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UID:submissions.supercomputing.org_SC23_sess430_ws_cafcw104@linklings.com
SUMMARY:AI/ML-Derived Whole-Genome Predictor Prospectively and Clinically 
 Predicts Survival and Response to Treatment in Brain Cancer
DESCRIPTION:Sri Priya Ponnapalli (University of Utah); Penelope Miron and 
 Kristy L. S. Miskimen (Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine)
 ; Kristin A. Waite (National Cancer Institute (NCI)); Nadiya Sosonkina (Hu
 dsonAlpha Clinical Services Lab LLC); Sara E. Coppens and Anthony C. Bryan
  (The Abigail Wexner Research Institute at Nationwide Children’s Hospital)
 ; Estevan P. Kiernan (Illumina, Inc.); Huanming Yang (Beijing Genomics Ins
 titute (BGI) -Shenzhen); Jay Bowen (The Abigail Wexner Research Institute 
 at Nationwide Children’s Hospital); Ghunwa A. Nakouzi (HudsonAlpha Clinica
 l Services Lab LLC); Jill S. Barnholtz-Sloan (National Cancer Institute (N
 CI)); Andrew E. Sloan (Piedmont Healthcare, Case Western Reserve Universit
 y School of Medicine); Tiffany R. Hodges (Case Western Reserve University 
 School of Medicine); and Orly Alter (University of Utah)\n\nCancer is comp
 lex, with contributing factors distributed across the entire genome affect
 ing every aspect of the disease. But typical artificial intelligence and m
 achine learning (AI/ML) would require 3B-patient training sets to generate
  predictive models from the whole 3B-nucleotide genome. As a result, tests
  remain limited to one to a few hundred genes. Prediction continues to rel
 y mostly on such factors as a tumor’s grade and the patient’s age. And the
  understanding and management of cancer continue to involve guesswork.\n\n
 A genome-wide pattern in glioblastoma brain cancer tumors was experimental
 ly validated in a retrospective clinical trial as the most accurate and pr
 ecise predictor of life expectancy and response to standard of care [1]. A
 pplicable to the general population, this predictor, the first to encompas
 s the whole genome, and predictors in lung, nerve, ovarian, and uterine ca
 ncers, were mathematically (re)discovered and computationally (re)validate
 d in open-source datasets from as few as 50–100 patients by using our AI/M
 L [2,3]. Data-agnostic, our algorithms, multi-tensor comparative spectral 
 decompositions, extend the mathematics that underlies quantum mechanics to
  overcome typical AI/ML obstacles by not requiring large amounts of data, 
 balanced data, or feature engineering. All other attempts to connect a gli
 oblastoma patient’s outcome with the tumor’s DNA copy numbers failed. For 
 70 years, the best indicator has been age. At 75–95% accuracy, our predict
 or is more accurate than and independent of age and all other indicators. 
 Platform- and reference genome-agnostic, the predictor’s >99% precision is
  greater than the community consensus of <70% reproducibility based upon o
 ne to a few hundred genes. It describes mechanisms for transformation, and
  identifies drug targets and combinations of targets to sensitize tumors t
 o treatment.\n\nNow, in follow-up results from the trial we, first, show c
 orrect prospective prediction of the outcome of the five of the 79 patient
 s who were alive four years earlier, at the time of first results. Two pat
 ients, who were predicted to have shorter survival, lived less than five y
 ears from diagnosis, whereas of the three patients predicted to have longe
 r survival, one lived more than five, and the remaining two are alive >11.
 5, years from diagnosis. Second, we demonstrate 100%-precise clinical pred
 iction for the 59 of the 79 patients with remaining tumor DNA by using who
 le-genome sequencing in a regulated laboratory. Third, we establish that t
 he risk that a tumor’s whole genome confers upon outcome, as is reflected 
 by the predictor, is surpassed only by the patient’s access to radiotherap
 y.\n\nThis is a proof of principle that our AI/ML is uniquely suited for p
 ersonalized medicine. This also demonstrates that the inclusion of complet
 e genomes, and the normal diversity within, is, beyond fair AI/ML, a scien
 tific, engineering, and medical necessity, because a patient’s survival an
 d response to treatment are the outcome of their tumor’s whole genome. We 
 conclude that our AI/ML-derived whole-genome predictors can take the guess
 work out of cancer. \n\n[1] Ponnapalli et al., APL Bioeng 4, 026106 (2020)
 ; https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5142559\n\n[2] Bradley et al., APL Bioeng 3, 0
 36104 (2019); https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5099268\n\n[3] Alter et al., PNAS 
 100, 3351 (2003); https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0530258100\n\nTag: Applicat
 ions, State of the Practice\n\nRegistration Category: Workshop Reg Pass\n\
 nSession Chairs: Lynn Borkon (Frederick National Laboratory for Cancer Res
 earch); Sally Ellingson (University of Kentucky); Sean Hanlon (National In
 stitutes of Health (NIH), National Cancer Institute (NCI)); Patricia Kovat
 ch (Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai); and Eric Stahlberg (MD Ander
 son Cancer Center, University of Texas)\n\n
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